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 The
Thrashers are a fun team to watch. With young guns Dany
Heatley and Ilya
Kovalchuk, the Thrashers appear to be set for years to come in terms of
quality players. The immediate issue remains this reliance on youth. Adding Shawn
McEachern and Slava
Kozlov are thus good moves and should help spark the offense, and
McEachern's leadership in the dressing room should prove invaluable. Still,
the Thrashers are thin in net and on defence, which partly explains the
drafting of blue-chip netminder Kari
Lehtonen (who’s impact could be felt sooner rather than later). The
Thrashers should be better, but not by leaps and bounds.
Locks: Kovalchuk and Heatley. In the long term, Heatley will likely
prove the more consistent and better overall player, but his potential
fantasy hockey upside is not that of Kovalchuk. Ilya may score 40 this year,
or he could net only 20, but he is clearly the heir apparent to Pavel
Bure and, soon, could be the most dangerous pure goal scorer in the
league.
Avoid: Kozlov and Patrik
Stefan. The Red Wings knew what they were giving up when they dealt
Kozlov to Buffalo for Hasek. He is only a shell of the player that his
talent would seem to indicate that he could be, so don’t overrate him.
Stefan, we now believe, is a bust. Even though he is only 22 years old, the
concussion thing still haunts him and he plays only on the perimeter.
Someone will take him higher than he should go thinking he’ll break out.
Make sure that person is not you.
Sleeper: Mark
Hartigan. A sniper in college, Hartigan needs to bring that game to the
NHL, and soon. He’ll be 25 and the clock is ticking, but given the
Thrashers depth chart there is a job for him if he wants it.
Question Mark: McEachern. Last year in Ottawa he really missed Yashin.
Big drop from 32 to 15 goals last year makes him a bad pick if you expect a
return to 30. Draft for 12 and cross your fingers.
 Awesome regular season was
followed up by early playoff exit. Clearly Theodore outplayed Byron
Dafoe, but all of the Habs outplayed the Bruins in that series.
Presuming Dafoe doesn’t sign back with Boston (you just never know) --
coupled with the loss of Bill
Guerin and the disgruntled Kyle
McLaren -- leaves some mighty big shoes to fill in Beantown. Will UFA Steve
Shields and/or John
Grahame be able to carry the load? You build a great team from the
goal-line out, and the Bruins foundation was still not quite complete even
with McLaren and Dafoe in the line-up. Without them, the Bruins could be in
tough. They’ll need big seasons from their goalies and hope that Bryan
Berard can make a difference back on the blue line.
Locks: Joe
Thornton and Sergei
Samsonov. Clearly the Bruins two best players will have to have monster
seasons if the team wants to approximate last year. Thornton was at times
dominant and Samsonov plays much bigger than his size.
Avoid: Marty
McInnis. Some pundits believe there is something left in the tank to
resume 20 goal seasons, but that’s just too much (his best season was 56
points back in 93-94). McInnis has lost a step and didn’t exactly thrive
when he came over at the deadline last season from the Ducks.
Sleeper: Andy
Hilbert and Nick
Boynton. Hilbert has put up solid numbers in the minors; he just needs a
chance at the NHL level. Glut at center right now, but that could change if
Hilbert plays well and the Bruins deal a center for a defencemen. Boynton
has the skills to be a premier power-play specialist in the NHL, but just
hasn’t shown it yet. Should be better this year.
Question Mark: Glenn
Murray. Scored 35 goals last year and becomes the No. 1 right winger for
the club this year. Historically, has followed-up great years with average
ones, but he’ll be playing with Thornton and Samsonov.
 This could be a very weird
year for the Sabres. They can take the Adelphia ownership fiasco and let it
affect them, or they can use that as a rallying point and finally turn in a
season worthy of their promise. Coach Lindy
Ruff seemed to have lost touch with his guys last year and it showed on
the ice. First, there were the feuds with Jason
Woolley, Slava
Kozlov, Vaclav
Varada, and finally Chris
Gratton. Then, the issue of the Sabres anemic offense ultimately led to
a less than fruitful season. Bright spots did include the development of
Marty Biron between the pipes, Taylor
Pyatt, Tim
Connolly, and the emergence of Stu
Barnes as the Sabres on- and off-ice leader. Strengths include depth at
goal (Mika Noronen is just too good a keeper to only be playing 10-20 games
in the NHL). Expect the Sabres to move him for blue line help.
Locks: Miroslav
Satan is a bona fide sniper in the NHL, and will flirt with 40 goals
again this year. Everyone else has a big question mark by their name.
Avoid: Jochen
Hecht. Hard to figure how a guy that couldn’t fit into the pressure
offence of the Oilers is going to handle the defence-first Sabres: 15 goals
max.
Sleeper: Taylor
Pyatt. Big, can skate, and a load in front, Pyatt took half a season to
figure out that for him to succeed it's all about power and pressure, not
flash and finesse. With the right line-mates Pyatt could get 20.
Question Mark: Chris
Gratton and Maxim
Afinogenov. Which Gratton will show up this year. The pouty, "I
want more ice time" Gratton, or the shut-up and play well and you’ll
get more ice-time, ¾ of his points were after the All Star break, Chris
Gratton – hard to know. Afinogenov has got to be one of the most
frustrating players to coach. Great wheels, hard shot, just won’t pass the
puck. Needs to succeed.
 Last year was one of
those years that every player playing on a .500 team dreams about: a solid
regular season followed up with a steadily improving playoff run (did
someone say "Cinderella"?). This year, the ‘Canes could be in
trouble though. The leagues’ crackdown on clutching and grabbing could
spell the end of Carolina’s defensive, soft trap system – good news for
hockey fans, but bad news for the talent challenged Hurricanes. Carolina’s
secret to success was their ability to counter- punch last year, as well as
their tight team play. Expectations will be high as a result of their trip
to the Finals, but the ‘Canes will be in tough to make the playoffs this
year.
Locks: Ron
Francis and Jeff O’Neill. Francis and the Wings Chris
Chelios must visit the same fountain of youth, because they appear to be
getting better as they reach 40. Francis started slow and then played so
well he was one of the best forwards after the All-Star break. O’Neill was
a poster-boy for why teams should NEVER give up on high draft choices until
they at least reach the age of 25. After 4 years of average to below average
play, O’Neill looks as though he has finally arrived. Best goal scorer on
the team.
Avoid: Josef
Vasicek. Vasicek is here not because he is bad, but because he has
reached his plateau without Hurricanes’ management moving either Francis
or Rod Brind’Amour, and neither is likely to happen soon. Bear that in
mind when you look at this young guy.
Sleeper: Jeff
Heerema. Not much more that he can prove in the minors after posting an
almost PPG pace, with 33 goals in the AHL last year. Just needs a chance.
Question Marks: David Tanabe and Arturs
Irbe. After apprenticing under the likes of Paul
Coffey, you’d think that Tanabe would do better than 1 goal in 70+
games. He is better than that but pundits have been waiting on Tanabe for a
long time. Irbe had a roller coaster year, losing his job to Barrasso, then
winning it back. Losing his job in the playoffs to Weeks and then winning it
back. The little Latvian is a throwback to the small reflex goalies and it
remains to be seen whether he can keep his job throughout the season.
 The Cats from Miami have
some excellent young talent, but they are light years away from putting it
together in order to make the playoffs. Between the pipes, Roberto
Luongo looks to be the heir apparent for Team Canada at the 2006
Olympics. The forwards are led by sophomores Krisitian Huselius, Niklas
Hagman, and Pierre
Dagenais. That's a collective 3 years of experience in the NHL! Similar
story on the blue-line, led by a contented Sandis Ozolish, who really
thrived after arriving from Carolina. Jay Boumeister may be the next coming
of Chris
Pronger, but that won’t be for a few years as he learns on the job. Valeri
Bure will play in the league, it’s just not a lock it will be in
Florida.
Locks: Huselius and Ozolinsh. Huselius broke in to the league last
year as a 23 year old rookie – and the added maturity really helped him.
He’s hurt to start this season, but he is still the real thing. Likely a
big impact next year. Ozolinsh played like the old Ozzie from the Avalanche
days and actually focused on stopping pucks too. Same this year.
Avoid: Olli
Jokinen. Just say no to Olli. Keeps getting looks simply because of his
size. He’s brutal, plain and simple.
Sleeper: Pierre
Dagenais. Was an excellent scorer in the minors and bagged 10 in limited
minutes last year in 40+ games. Dagenais will see top 6 forward duty and
will be relied on to light the goal lamp.
Question Mark: Will the real Viktor
Kozlov please make an appearance. Is the most talented of all of the
Panthers, but either can’t: a) stay focused, b) stay healthy, c) stay on
the coaches’ good side. Leave him unless he really lights it up in the
pre-season.
 Huge playoff run was a
result of Jose
Theodore channeling the ghost of Ken
Dryden (at least that’s our story). Jose was awesome and just ran
outta gas against Carolina. Richard
Zednik looked as though he had finally arrived and Doug
Gilmour was great in the 2nd half. Questions still remain about the
offence but one has to think that a healthy Saku
Koivu, Donald
Audette and newcomer Mariusz
Czerkawski should help that. The Habs were a good team last year and
played as well as they could with the tools they had. This year should be
better if they can just avoid the injury bug (mighty big IF for this injury
plagued team). Habs could use some steadying influence on the blue line as
well, but having their players stay off the disabled list is the first
priority.
Locks: Zednik, Czerkawski. Zednik looked solid last playoffs (before
the big hit) but just be sure you draft him for 20 goals and then hope he
gets more. Czerkawski comes over with a solid resume, although his point
production is on a downward slide in the last three years. He's only 30, and
will be a top 6 forward and should get 20 without too much trouble.
Avoid: Jan
Bulis. Looks so good in practice and even in pre-season but so lost when
it counts, you’d think he’d need a compass to find his own bench. Just
24, Bulis is just not gonna be a big time sniper ... sorry.
Sleeper: Marcel
Hossa. Not as big as big brother Marion, but the younger Hossa can still
score. Well, at least in junior he did.
Question Mark: Koivu. Looks to have cancer under wraps, now can he
stay healthy for a full year. Almost a career PPG guy, so draft him for 55
points and hope he plays more.
 After making it to the
Stanley Cup Finals just a year before last, the Devils just never got it
going in ’01-’02. Consequently, GM Lou Lameriello pulled the pin on two
huge deals that not only changes the personnel but also the chemistry of the
Devils. New coach Pat
Burns will ensure that the players on this team are personally
accountable for their on-ice actions. The strength of this team is between
the pipes (in Martin Brodeur) and the Devils defence increased their
mobility with the addition of Oleg
Tverdovsky. The ever looming injury bug remains paramount, as Joe
Nieuwendyk, Jamie
Langenbrunner and Scott
Gomez are not exactly iron-men when it comes to staying healthy. The
loss of Bobby
Holik cannot be underestimated.
Locks: Brian
Rafalski and Patrik
Elias. Elias tallied 40 goals just two years ago and he has the talent
to do it again. He’ll have to do it with Joe
Nieuwendyk feeding him, which is actually better than the Jason
Arnott alternative. Rafalski is quickly establishing himself as a
premier rearguard in the NHL. Small by most GM's wishes, Rafalski uses his
smarts and skill to beat his opponents.
Avoid: Scott
Niedermayer. Has the skill and speed to be a dominant defencemen, but
just never reaches that potential. If he reaches 30 points this year,
we’ll be surprised.
Sleeper: Brian
Gionta. Pint sized by NHL standards – he might be 5’8” with his
skates on -- Gionta brings NHL type speed and shooting ability. He is just
going to have to prove to Burns that he can contribute on a regular basis.
New rules should help.
Question Mark: Scott
Gomez and Jeff
Friesen. Lets’ see, he came to camp out of shape, pouted about the
loss of Mogilny, refused to play in the defensive end of the ice, and his
off ice antics made his team-mates question his commitment. So, of course
Gomez demanded more dough this year. NICE! The kid needs to change his
attitude in a hurry or he could be moved. Friesen was so happy to be gone
from Anaheim that he could hardly contain himself. He promises the Devils
that they’ll see the real Jeff
Friesen – we’ll see.
 Last year the Isles
were a nice surprise and made the playoffs. Had it not been for key injuries
to Kenny
Jonsson and Mike
Peca, they likely would have knocked off the Leafs, but that’s a lot
of “what ifs”. This year it looked as though Milbury was positioning
himself to get even better by off-loading Czerkawski, and his contract, to
the Habs for the feisty Aaron Asham, in order to pursue a goal scoring UFA.
But that never materialized and the Isles may be in trouble this season
without some more offensive help and Peca out for the first three months
Much is expected of Mark
Parrish and Brad
Isbister. If Milbury could move the under-achieving Roman
Hamrlik, he would. Former first round draft pick Rick
DiPietro is two seasons away from wrestling the goalie duties away from Chris
Osgood.
Locks: Alexi Yashin, Mark
Parrish and Adrian
Aucoin. Love him or hate him, you have to respect Yashin’s ability. A
consistent 30 goal, 80 point guy when he plays a full season, expect the
same this year. Parrish is as streaky a goal scorer as they come, but he
gets first crack at No.1 right wing duty alongside Yashin, and he should
shine. He is 25, traditionally the beginning of NHLer's best career years.
Aucoin usurped Hamrlik on the PP in the 2nd half and delivered big time.
He’s the Isles best all around defencemen and will log serious minutes.
Avoid: Oleg
Kvasha. One minute he looks like the next coming of Mats
Sundin and the very next shift he looks like the Invisible Man. Kvasha
has skill but continues to play on the perimeter, which means not nearly as
many points as his talent should warrant.
Sleeper: Raffi
Torres. A high draft pick for the Isles in 2000, Torres just hasn’t
been able to get a long look to prove what he can do. Drives the net with
aggression even though he is not the biggest winger. Can play either side.
Question Mark: Roman
Hamrlik. At one time destined to be the best all-around defencemen in
the league. But something funny happened on that road to the future –
Hamrlik became just average, or maybe just above average. Remember that when
you go to draft him.
 No team made as big a
splash in the off-season as the Rangers. They went out and threw huge money
at Bobby
Holik and Darius
Kasparaitis, and they will make the Rangers better, but playoff better?
We’ll see. Of course a full season of Eric
Lindros and Pavel
Bure (recently injured in pre-season) should make a big difference in
terms of scoring, but there’s a lot of work that needs to be done in their
own end. Mike
Richter's resigning should continue to solidify the Rangers goaltending,
but the weakness on this team has been their commitment to play some defence.
Rookie head coach Brian Trottier has a lot of talent, but can he reach them
and teach them? Rangers PP could be spooky.
Locks: Bure and Lindros. Pavel
Bure could not wipe the grin from his face when he heard he was traded
to NYC. He says he has always wanted to play in New York, and he performed
very well in the brief time before the end of last season. An entire season
on Broadway with Bure should only benefit Lindros. He stayed relatively
healthy last year and is said to be in even better shape this camp.
Avoid: Mark
Messier. As much as it pains us to say, it appears as though it's time
for the Moose to move over. He no longer is able to contribute every game
and every fourth shift, and it’s just not right to see him only on the
power-play.
Sleeper: Martin
Rucinsky. He’s a sleeper if he signs with the Rangers, and we think he
will. He was great in 12 games with Lindros and Bure and an entire season on
their left side could be a big surprise for the Rangers.
Question Mark: Petr
Nedved. With Lindros and Holik ahead of him and Messier not prepared to
hang them up just yet, what does that mean for Nedved? Sather might get some
help on the blue-line by moving Nedved, and that’s what we think we’ll
happen.
 No longer matters where
they finish for the playoffs, just as long as they do. They must now advance
beyond the Leafs for playoff success, and overcome their psych job is
ongoing. Sens ownership is even more of an issue, thus the off-loading of
pricey veterans in past few years like Rob
Zamuner, Andreas
Dackell, and now Shawn
McEachern. They are hoping that young guns in Marian
Hossa, Martin
Havlat, Mike
Fisher and Petr
Schastlivy will alleviate that fear, but after last years playoff
meltdown with the Leafs, we wonder, "Is this the team that is gonna do
it?". Jacques
Martin is on his last legs: they need to win regularly for him to keep
his job. Jani
Hurme is good enough to press for No.1 duty, but it won’t be with the
Sens.
Locks: Alfredsson, Radek
Bonk, and Hossa. If Alfredsson stays healthy, which is always a question
mark, he produces. Bonk was slow off the mark being the Sens No.1 pivot, but
a fat arbitration deal makes him "Da man". Hossa is a budding star
that looks poised to get better. Draft for 30 goals and hope for more.
Avoid: Chris Phillips. Seems to have gotten better, finally, but his
skill is his aggressiveness. He may never live up to the status of being a
first overall pick, but that said, he’ll be just OK, which doesn't
translate well into Fantasy Hockey performance.
Sleeper: Petr
Schastlivy. A spot on either wing is just waiting for this talented
youngster, but his inability to play coach Martin’s defensive scheme has
kept him out of the NHL, until this year.
Question Mark: Todd White. For a career minor leaguer, White had a
career season last season. Unfortunately, he will have to fight for his spot
and hold off challenges every minute he’s in the league.
 Awesome regular season
turned into a nightmare post-season. Internal squabbling akin to
kindergarten was just too much to overcome for trade deadline acquired Adam
Oates and the rest of the under-achieving Flyers. Playoffs really
exposed their lack of speed on the blue line. Off years from Mark
Recchi, Keith
Primeau, Eric
Desjardins and John
LeClair also revealed. There will be no doubting that new coach Ken
Hitchcock will demand a better commitment and effort from the Flyers
this year. Roman
Cechmanek is now “da man” between the pipes. GM Bob Clarke’s job
has to be in question if Flyers fall flat this year in playoffs again.
Locks: Simon
Gagne, Jeremy
Roenick, and Mark
Recchi. Gagne is a budding superstar that has consistently raised the
level of his play, and subsequently his points, every year since he came
into the league. Roenick is still a jerk, but less of one as he now lets his
play do more, but not all, of the talking. Recchi had an off-season, and has
traditionally followed those up with a big year, so draft accordingly.
Avoid: Eric
Desjardins. At one time a premier defencemen, giving up his captaincy
was supposed to make him more focused and allow him to contribute more. That
did not happen. Don’t be taken in.
Sleeper: Pavel
Brendl. Talented winger that can rifle the puck, has continuously shown
lack of fitness and commitment come training camp. Not so this year.
Penciled in on third line, if he is committed, Brendl could make an impact.
Question Mark: Cechmanek and Primeau. Questions still abound whether
Cechmanek can carry the Flyers deep not only in the regular season, but also
in the playoffs. And what has happened to Primeau? Horrible start led to
only 48 points last year. Should be better this year, but lots of pressure.
 No Jagr, No Mario (after
the Olympics), and no Straka meant no playoffs. Mario
Lemieux is the best player in the league…when he is healthy. This
year, Lemieux says that he is healthier than he has been in years. His hip
is as good as a degenerative hip can be and his back is solid as well. He
won’t play back to back games on the road and likely not the ones at home.
After a horrible year last year, Martin Straka’s luck still didn’t
improve as he hurt his back during a workout and may be on the shelf for a
few weeks or months. Good news is that the Pens believe that he won’t need
surgery, but still that leaves a gap. The young guys the Pens got for Jagr
need to step it up, as do long-time prospects Milan
Kraft, Michal
Rozsival and Andrew Ferrence. Johan
Hedberg is solid, not spectacular, between the pipes.
Locks: Alexei
Kovalev and Lemieux. Kovalev has finally arrived as a legit scorer in
the league. He's becoming a complete offensive weapon, and now recognizes
that he can’t take shifts off. Lemieux is here simply because when he does
play, he’ll score.
Avoid: Ville
Nieminen. Part of the package the Pens got for the Avalanche renting
Kasperitis. Didn’t show much with the Avs last year and showed even less
when he came over. Granted he’ll get some points if he plays with Lemieux,
but so would our dog if he could skate.
Sleeper: Milan
Kraft. The Pens have been very patient with the young Kraft and a spot
on the third line is his to lose. He is a slick play-maker and good skater,
could hit the weight room to gain some strength.
Question Mark: Geez, where to start. Can Lemieux stay healthy and for
how long? Ditto defenceman Janne Laukkanen? Can Jan
Hrdina assume more of an offensive role with the departure of Robert
Lang? Can Toby
Petersen finally stick for an entire season? Can Rick Kehoe…well you
get the idea.
 How long can Tampa be
“not very good”? So far, more than just a few years. The ‘Ning are
getting better, just very slowly. They have talent in a few strategic spots.
Nikolai
Khabibulin is a legit NHL goalie and would be a top 5 netminder on a
better team. Defenceman Pavel
Kubina is a very good rear-guard and Brad
Richards, Fredrik
Modin, Vincent
Lecavalier, and under-rated Martin
St. Louis form the nucleus of a great forward corps. The problem for the
Lightning is that their depth is, well, shallow. Another year older, the
young guns on this team should be better.
Locks: Richards, Lecavalier and Kubina. Brad
Richards appears to be the real deal and sleighed the “sophomore
jinx” dragon. He should be good for similar impact and improvement this
year. While Richards was having a good season, Lecavalier was going through
the season from hell. Expect a much better performance this year. Kubina has
the capability to flirt with the Norris, it may just take some time.
Avoid: Shane
Willis. We think the ‘Ning won’t be able to strike gold again –
see Modin -- with the acquisition of Shane
Willis. Slowed by head injuries, Willis is a guy that looks to be
regressing and that’s a bad thing on a team that needs him to score.
Sleeper: Wonder if the Flames are wondering if giving up on Martin
St. Louis was a good thing? The feisty, driven and speedy St. Louis is
the heart and soul of this young team – and plays that way every shift.
Question Mark: Sheldon
Keefe. Just two seasons removed from almost two points per game in the
OHL, Keefe has a big opinion of himself and, so far, Tampa Bay fans are
still waiting. If he bears down, yikes!
 Exceeded almost
everyone’s expectations for the regular season and then were unexplicably
great in the playoffs despite a sore Cujo, an injured Mats
Sundin, and an invisible Robert
Reichel. No team seemed to get more with the tools they had then the
Leafs. Did anyone think Darcy
Tucker was going to score 20+ goals? Neither did we. This year will be
more of a challange for the Buds, with no Gary
Roberts until Christmas, Ed
Belfour trying to fill Joseph’s massive skates and the still obvious
average blue-line corps. That said, Coach Pat
Quinn will ensure that his team takes advantage of the league’s
crackdown on obstruction. If the Leafs can move Reichel, they will.
Locks: Sundin and Alexander
Mogilny. Sundin is a stud, plain and simple. He is a Top 10 forward in
the NHL, despite what most TO fans think. If you draft Mogilny thinking he
is going to score 40 goals, you will be disappointed, but 25 goals is
definitely attainable.
Avoid: Darcy
Tucker. The most marked man in the NHL is just not going to have all the
planets align like they did last year (scoring 24 goals and 59 points).
Draft him for 15 and hope he does better.
Sleeper: Robert
Svehla. After a couple disappointing seasons in Florida, Svehla comes to
the Leafs as a happy camper and you shouldn’t pass on him. He’s better
on the PP than any other Leaf d-man including McCabe. He should rebound and
log lots of minutes.
Question Mark: Eddie Belfour. Last year was one to forget for the
Eagle. He's still a good goalie, but does he still have the skills to steal
games like Cujo did? His last solid playoff performance was back when the
Stars won the Cup 3 seasons ago. It’s definitely going to be an
interesting year for Belfour and Leafs fans.
 New coach in Bruce
Cassidy, new center in Robert
Lang and an even bigger payroll mean raised expectations for the
Capitals this year. Jaromir
Jagr looks to be focused on leading the Caps back to the playoffs, and
that’s bad news for the rest of the league. Couple Jags with Petr Bondra,
and the Caps have likely the best one-two punch down the right side in the
league. Lang should help to set-up and prevent a few more goals, but there
are still big questions about the Caps defence. They were often injured, and
haven’t gotten any younger. If Olaf
Kolzig doesn’t bounce back to his Vezina like form, the Caps won’t
be quite as dominant as ownership, and fans, would like.
Locks: Jagr, Bondra and Sergei
Gonchar. Gonchar runs the PP like no one else in the league and his 26
goals last year are proof positive of that. If the caps actually play to
their potential, then he stands a serious shot of winning the Norris.
Avoid: Chris
Simon and Sylvain
Cote. Simon’s 29 goal season is long gone. He can’t stay healthy and
can’t stay off of the 4th line. Cote was a good offensive defencemen –
about 5 years ago. Remember that!
Sleeper: Jeff
Halpern. Had a horrid year: signed late and then got a season ending
injury early on. Has the capability to be the No. 2 guy there, and plays
solid in both ends of the rink.
Question Mark: Dainius
Zubrus. Hard to figure this guy out. Still very young, and played very
well on a trial basis as a pivot at the end of last season. If he plays on
the top two lines, he could really surprise. If he doesn’t, he’ll be a
wasted pick.
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